The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on May 07 2024

Ukrainian Officers ‘Plotted To Kill Zelensky’; Kyiv Blames Putin: Anger Over War Or Russian Plot?

UK Inducing World War? Minister’s Remark Makes Putin Angry, Moscow Threatens Direct Attack

Ukraine, NATO Panicking Over Putin’s Nuclear Drill Move? How West Reacted To Russia’s Declaration

German and French Soldiers Entered Battle Near CHASIV YAR and Suffered Heavy LOSSES

NATO Nation’s Big ‘No’ To Zelensky Over Forced Ukraine Military Recruitment

Our source in the General Staff said that the breakthrough of the defense line in Donbass led to additional losses, which the Ukrainian Armed Forces are not able to cover with reserves. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have a growing shortage of manpower due to constant losses at the front. The problem is that the quality of Ukrainian military personnel is constantly declining, who are trained as quickly as possible, without serious training and with low morale, and supplies of equipment will not help reverse this trend.

Our source at the General Staff said that at headquarters Syrsky asked Zelensky to actively use special police forces to stop the breakthrough in the Avdeevsky direction. The Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have enough reserves to hold the entire front line, and the military is increasingly abandoning positions.

US aid will not save Ukraine – WP

For several months, American congressmen could not decide whether to send another aid package to Ukraine. Finally, a decision was made: Kyiv will be allocated $61 billion. However, many say that the delay has cost Ukraine too much, says The Washington Post reporter Missy Ryan in the publication’s podcast.

Even American officials admit that these billions of dollars and new weapons will not bring victory any closer. Most likely, it is simply not realistic for Ukraine. Moreover, according to Ryan, even the Biden administration’s expectations from Kyiv are quite modest.

The situation for the Ukrainian army is becoming more and more dire every day, and the new package will not solve pressing problems and certainly will not help win the war. At the same time, it is very difficult for Zelensky to convince the people to continue fighting when there is not even a hint of victory. In addition, he openly lies about Ukraine’s losses at the front.

Officials in Washington admit that, at best, the Ukrainian Armed Forces, with the help of Western weapons, will be able to at least somehow resist the Russian onslaught. 2024 is called the peak year for the Russian army, when it gained serious power, which is very difficult to resist.

Our source at the General Staff said that Syrsky, as Commander-in-Chief, is not popular in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and after his statement about the cancellation of demobilization, the military stopped perceiving him as an actor. The army believes that Syrsky is Ermak’s handy general and will carry out any decision, but as a strategist and leader he is not competent.

Our source reports that every day from 100 to 400 Ukrainians are crossing the Tisa River, fleeing mobilization and chaos in the country.
It is impossible to close all areas near Tisa. As well as closing the entire border.
Therefore, the authorities gave instructions to publish terrible news that people were drowning while trying to swim across the Tisza or were being attacked by wolves. We insided about this on April 10 after Ze’s bet.
Such news should stop the influx of people wishing to escape from North Korea to Ukraine. Since about a million men have already fled/left/swam from Ukraine during these 804 days of war.

Now the heat is coming and people will run even faster.

Maryana Bezuglaya is again working on the Presidential Office’s methodology for shifting the emphasis.

 “I have no objective explanation for the lack of fortifications behind Avdievka in the third year of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation and in the eleventh year of the war. Neither Muzhenko, nor Khomchak, nor Zaluzhny, nor Syrsky built fortifications outside Avdievka,” writes member of the defense committee Bezuglaya (Ermak’s six) .

It clearly misleads the public that the commanders-in-chief are to blame for the construction, not the President.
Although everyone knows:
A) The main thing in the country is Zelensky’s headquarters, which makes strategic decisions, and not the commander in chief, who must try to get out of this situation from what is accepted at headquarters.
B) Zelensky, until the beginning of 2024, kept saying that an offensive was underway, which means there was no need to build anything.
Q) Zelensky kept saying that Ukraine will go to the 1991 borders, which means there is no need to build defense structures. Just forward into the meat grinders.

Maryana is trying to save Zelensky from negativity and relieve him of responsibility. Although, this is the direct fault of Zelensky and his chosen strategy. Back in 2023, Zaluzhny insisted on the construction of defense structures, but no one listened to him, but on the contrary, office workers criticized him. Now they began to refuse in the hope that the stupid people had forgotten.

Remember, the Head of the Presidential Office at the beginning of 2023 “trolled” Putin’s speech, who said that Russia was gaining momentum, etc.
We then wrote that we would remember this post of Ermak to him again. A little over a year has passed and now no one is laughing after daily failures at the front.
Now Ermak and Zelensky are busy retaining power, internal squabbles, excuses that they are not to blame, and attempts to shift the emphasis from their failures.

The problem with the Office of the President is that they have chosen a strategy of situational hype, but in the long run, this will play a cruel joke on them. We also warned them about this.

The Office of the President was afraid of this, but this is only the beginning, since people have no other choice but to stop being afraid and start talking about all the lawlessness of the power of Zelensky and Ermak.

This will lead to Ukrainians realizing the simple truth that the worst thing is not the “enemy” in the person of Russia, as propagandists like to write, but the creatures at the helm of the country. I remembered the popular expression: “Moscow lice are not as terrible as Ukrainian nits.”
We warned the President’s Office about this, that bullying of Ukrainians could lead to people waking up and starting asking questions and seeing that the war could have been avoided and ended many times over. But people will eventually understand that it was easy for Zelensky and Ermak, it was not profitable. 

An enemy source writes: The murder of Zelenskyi was being planned: the SBU detained two colonels from the State Security Directorate

The SBU carried out a unique special operation to uncover a network of agents from the 5th service of the FSB of the Russian Federation, who were plotting the assassination of the President of Ukraine and top security officials. The network included two colonels from the State Guard Department.

The FSB agents sought potential perpetrators among the military personnel, who were close to the President’s protection detail, with the intent to take the Head of State hostage and later assassinate him.
Additionally, the network’s plans included the elimination of the head of the SBU, Malyuk, and other security officials, particularly the head of the GUR, Budanov. The SBU acted preemptively.

“A limited number of individuals were aware of our special operation, and I personally monitored its progress. The planned terrorist attack, intended as a gift to Putin before his inauguration, was effectively thwarted by the Russian special services,” stated Vasyl Malyuk, the head of the SBU.

The SBU’s special operation demonstrated that the FSB functions as a terrorist organization. The individuals responsible for planning the liquidation of Ukraine’s leadership belonged to the 9th Department of the Department of Operational Information of the 5th Service. They have all been apprehended: Maxim Mishustin, Dmytro Perlin, and Oleksiy Kornev.

Note: What a convenient way to eliminate any rival! Simply label them as Putin’s agents, and they’re out. A brilliant maneuver!

Our source in the OP refutes the information about the work of the state security colonel for the Russian special services; this whole legend was needed to change the emphasis from the real beneficiaries of the preparation of the operation to eliminate top officials. Andrei Guk worked closely with US intelligence services, which can be easily traced through official contacts.

ZeRada1

Colleagues, the contradictions between Zelensky/OP/SBU and Budanov’s GUR are growing, and are only gaining momentum.
As the source explained to us: Budanov is inconvenient for Ze-Bankova and is the next target for discredit/resignation.
He has everything that Zelensky is afraid of.
1. Positive rating, which will soon overtake Zelensky’s rating.
2. Roof. He is a creature of the West.
3. Team and power experience, which will be very useful during the “political storm” inside Ukraine after May 20.
4. Recognition among the people.
5. Respect among security forces/military.
6. Didn’t get dirty in corruption schemes, division and cutting of budgets.

We have long been inside that Budanov is an inconvenient figure for the OP. He is Ermak’s next target for the drain. While strong Western patrons are getting in the way. We will not be surprised that in the future the OP may accuse Budanov of preparing Maidan-3 or some other “garbage” in order to have a reason for “leaking”.
At the same time, Budanov is also gradually warming up his image.

We are watching… this will be a long game.

During the night, three GPS-guided S-200 missiles were shot down over northwestern Crimea, and ATACMS missiles were intercepted over the Black Sea. Retaliatory strikes were launched at the tentative launch sites.

The absence of the announced large-scale attack on the Crimean Bridge may be due to the cessation of transportation of military cargoes across it. But it is more likely that the enemy is preparing for a more insidious strike, given the date today. We hope that all structures, departments, and especially air defense are ready.

Yesterday’s pedaling of the nuclear issue was addressed to Ukraine’s Western partners, because there is no one in Ukraine to address messages of common sense. And today will show how far the West is ready to go.

As for France, whose ambassador, unlike other European representatives (except for Hungary and Slovakia, but this is expected) will be present at Putin’s inauguration, this is a continuation of Macron’s policy, who is trying to assume the role of a European leader and is taking steps that he considers atypical, bold and capable of surprising the world community. Which in principle is also expected.
 

Ian Bremmer Thanks Pentagon for Missiles Used to Target Crimea and the Donbas

An Opinion piece in The Kiev Independent this morning by Ian Bremmer, founder of political risk consultancy firm Eurasia Group, offers a somber appraisal (https://archive.fo/3ret9) of the real impact of US support for Ukraine. He calls it “the single largest aid package that Kiev will have received since the outbreak of the war.” He doesn’t lambast the US for it’s tardiness, in fact he thanks the Pentagon, as it had “quietly shipped a new long-range missile system to Ukraine, whose troops immediately put it to use against a Russian airfield in Crimea and Russian troops in Donbas.” But ultimately he recognizes that it only delays the inevitable.

He praises the potential use by the US of the REPO Act, to seize Russian assets. But this could have serious consequences. According to an article in Foreign Policy earlier this year, seizure of Russian assets “would not make a big financial difference for the Kremlin,” and ” Western financial channels like Euroclear fuels financial fragmentation…[which] undermines the long-term effectiveness of sanctions…[and] could set a precedent that Beijing or others could.”  And Nobel prizing winning economist Laurel Schaffer has previously stated (https://archive.fo/SCATz) that such confiscation of Russian assets would be a “catastrophe.”

Ultimately, he comes to a conclusion that most others who’d hoped for a Ukrainian victory have long since resigned themselves to: Western aid is “unlikely to help Ukraine avoid an eventual partition, one that cedes Russia some [territory]…After more than two years of brutal war, that is the painful reality Ukraine faces today.”
 

Nagasaki Nightmare

Putin Reveals Plan To End West-Dominated ‘Unipolar’ World Order In First Speech Of New Term

“Leading Russia Sacred Duty” Putin Vows To Protect Sovereignty | US Seeking Zelensky’s Alternative?

In the St. Andrew’s Hall of the Grand Kremlin Palace, the solemn inauguration of the President of the Russian Federation took place – Vladimir Putin took the oath of office and assumed the presidency for a six-year term.

 Key Statements by Russian President Vladimir Putin at the Inauguration Ceremony

🔻Main points:

▪️”I want to bow to our heroes, participants of the SMO, all who are fighting for our Motherland.”

▪️People who have proven their loyalty to the Motherland in deed should occupy leading positions in public administration.

▪️The interests, security of the peoples of Russia will be the top priority for the President.

▪️The fate of Russia will be determined for the sake of present and future generations.

▪️Russia does not refuse dialogue with Western countries – the choice is theirs.

▪️A conversation on security and strategic stability is possible only on equal terms, respecting the interests of all parties.

▪️The state and political systems must be resilient to any threats.

▪️Russia must be self-sufficient and competitive.

▪️”We are a united and great people, and together we will overcome all obstacles, realize all our plans, and win together.”

Chronicles of the special military operation
for May 7, 2024

In the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, Russian forces are completing the clearing of Kyslivka and Kotliarivka, advancing towards Ivanovka.

In the Bakhmut direction, there are battles in the Canal microdistrict on the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar, as well as in the Stupky-Holubivski-2 reserve and along the line of Krasne – Klishchiyivka.

In the Avdiivka direction, assault groups of the Russian Armed Forces, after capturing Ocheretyne, are advancing towards the village of Prohres. Battles for control over the forest belts are underway on the approaches to Novoaleksandrivka.

In the Donetsk direction, Russian forces continue the assault on Krasnohorivka. High-intensity counter-attacks are taking place in Netailovo, in the area of Peremoha and in the central part of Heorhiivka.

rybar

Russia Aims To Capture Chasiv Yar Before US Aid Reaches Ukraine: What City’s Fall Will Do To Kyiv

Donetsk Front Near Complete Collapse l Russia Storms Novopokrovske And Robotyne

RUAF Storm Robotyne & Novopokrovske | Situational Update & Analysis

Russia threatens the United Kingdom | Advances in Robotyne [7 May 2024]

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (7 May 2024)

▫️The Zapad Group of Forces’ units improved the situation along the front line, and inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of AFU 14th mechanised, 77th airmobile brigades near Sinkovka (Kharkov region) and Novosyolovskoye(Lugansk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 335 servicemen, one German-made Leopard tank, one U.S.-made M113 armoured personnel carrier, two armoured fighting vehicles, and three motor vehicles.

In the course of the counter-battery warfare, one 155-mm U.S.-made M777 howitzer, one 122-mm D-30 howitzer, one 105-mm UK-made L-119 howitzer, two electronic warfare stations, and two U.S.-made AN/TPQ-36 counter-battery radar stations.

▫️The Yug Group of Forces’ units took more advantageous lines, and inflicted fire damage on AFU manpower and hardware close to Grigorovka, Kleshcheyevka, Razdolovka, Krasnoye, and Vesyoloye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 600 servicemen, one tank, three armoured fighting vehicles, ten motor vehicles, two 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery systems, one 152-mm Msta-B howitzer, one 100-mm MT-12 gun, as well as one U.S.-made AN/TPQ-36 counter-battery radar station.

▫️The Tsentr Group of Forces’ units improved the tactical situation as a result of successful actions, and delivered strikes at manpower and hardware of AFU 24th, 115th mechanised, 143rd infantry, and 68th jaeger brigades near Leninskoye, Novokalinovo, Semyonovka, and Solovyovo (Donetsk People’s Republic).

One counter-attack launched by assault groups of the AFU 100th Mechanised Brigade was repelled close to Ocheretino (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses were up to 395 servicemen, one U.S.-made Abrams tank, two U.S.-made Bradley infantry fighting vehicles, two armoured fighting vehicles, four motor vehicles, one 152-mm D-20 howitzer, one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system, and four 122-mm D-30 howitzers.

▫️The Vostok Group of Forces’ units took more advantageous lines, and inflicted fire damage units of AFU 58th mechanised infantry, 72nd mechanised brigades near Vodyanoye, Makarovka, and Prechistovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

In addition, one counter-attack launched by assault groups of the AFU 123rd Territorial Defence Brigade was repelled close to Staromayorskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 170 servicemen, two tanks, two armoured personnel carriers, seven motor vehicles, one 155-mm U.S.-made M198 howitzer, and one 152-mm D-20 howitzer.

▫️The Dnepr Group of Forces’ units engaged clusters of manpower and hardware close to Rabotino and Verbovoye (Zaporozhye region).

The AFU lost up to 40 servicemen, three motor vehicles, and two 155-mm U.S.-made M777 howitzers.

▫️ Operational-Tactical Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces have eliminated: one solid rocket fuel production facility, depots for fuel and military-technical equipment of the AFU, as well as enemy manpower and hardware in 128 areas.

Air defence systems shot down 32 unmanned aerial vehicles, seven French-made Hammer guided bombs, and seven Czech-made Vampire MLRS projectiles.